Daily technical (28/08/15)

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1249

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The US economy grew at a faster-than-expected pace during the second quarter of this 2015, at least according to the preliminary reading of the GDP that posted a whopping 3.7% against expectations of a 3.2% advance. The American dollar extended its early advance, as investors entered the European session with a positive mood, following a strong recovery in China's stocks. The US also released its Pending Home Sales for July, up 0.5%, slightly below expected, but up for the sixth time in seven months. 

The EUR/USD pair has declined to a fresh weekly low of 1.1202 before bouncing up to the current 1.1250 area, and still looking short-term heavy, as in the 1 hour chart, the price is clearly consolidating below its 200 SMA, whilst the technical indicators are posting mild declines below their mid-lines. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators are bouncing from oversold readings, but remain far from suggesting the decline is over, whilst the 20 SMA has turned sharply lower well above the current price. A break below 1.1200 should see the pair extending its decline down to 1.1120, a key mid-term static support level. 

Support levels: 1.1200 1.1160 1.1120

Resistance levels: 1.1280 1.1320 1.1350 

 

EUR/JPY Current Price: 136.01

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The EUR/JPY edged lower for the fourth day in-a-row, reaching  135.52 on EUR weakness, from where it bounced back to the 136.00 region, where it stands by the end of the day.  Daily basis, the pair has set a lower low and a lower high, which implies a strong downward continuation, also considering the price is well below the 100 DMA. Shorter term, the 1 hour chart shows that the 100 SMA accelerated below the 200 SMA, whilst the Momentum indicator turned slightly lower around its mid-line, whilst the RSI turned lower, and stands now around 49. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators are aiming slightly higher from oversold territory, but remain well in the red, supporting the shorter term outlook. 

Support levels: 135.45 134.90 134.40

Resistance levels: 136.20 136.65 137.10

 

GBP/USD Current price: 1.5411

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The British Pound remained under a strong selling pressure, with latest buyers quickly unwinding their long positions and fueling the decline. The release of the US Q2 GDP positive data sent the GBP/USD pair down to 1.5369, a fresh monthly low. On Friday, the UK will release the second estimate of the Q2 GDP figures, expected to match the previous estimate of 0.7%. The Pound may get a boost from an improved reading, but it will take at least a recovery above 1.5470 to take the pressure of the GBP/USD. Technically, the bias is lower, as the price is well below the mentioned 1.5460/70 region that has attracted buyers for most of the last month, and the 1 hour chart shows that the 20 SMA heads lower around the same price zone, whilst the technical indicators stand flat well below their mid-lines. In the 4 hours chart the technical indicators are posting limited bounces from extreme oversold readings, rather reflecting the ongoing short term upward correction than suggesting the pair may advance more. 

Support levels: 1.5370 1.5335 1.5290

Resistance levels: 1.5430 1.5760 1.5710

 

USD/JPY Current price: 120.80

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The USD/JPY pair regained the 120.00 level during the past Asian session, boosted by the recovery in Asian share markets and renewed dollar's buying interest. The pair however, held near the 120.50 before finally surging in the American afternoon, up to 121.39, meeting selling interest around the 61.8% retracement of these last two-weeks decline. Japan will release its National and Tokyo inflation during the upcoming session, and  better-than-expected results may help the yen extending its recovery. Short term, the 1 hour chart shows that the price is now well above its 100 SMA that anyway maintains a bearish slope, whilst the RSI retreats from overbought readings, now heading lower around 61, limiting the upside as long as the price holds below the mentioned Fibonacci level. In the 4 hours chart, the Momentum indicator turned south, but remains above the 100 level, whilst the RSI hovers around 53, supporting additional gains, should the price extend beyond 121.40. 

Support levels: 120.30 119.90 119.60

Resistance levels:  121.00 121.40 121.75